So what were you doing 45 years ago?
Miguel Cabrera accomplished a feat that hadn't been seen in MLB for two generations—he won the Triple Crown, leading the American League in batting average, home runs and RBI.
Cabrera
actually came very close to leading the major leagues in all three
categories. His 44 home runs were more than anyone else in the AL or NL,
as were his 139 RBI. However, Buster Posey of the San Francisco Giants finished with a .337 batting average, six points ahead of Cabrera's .331 mark.
But
that isn't intended to diminish Cabrera's achievement in any way
whatsoever. It can't be diminished when it's something that hasn't been
done in 45 years. Forty-five years.
That's the last time MLB had a Triple Crown winner, when Boston Red Sox outfielder Carl Yastrzemski led the AL with a .326 average, 44 home runs and 121 RBI.
Various
newspapers, websites and TV shows will probably show us in the next day
or two what was going on in the world in 1967. We'll do a little of
that too. Lyndon Johnson was the president of the United States. "To Sir With Love" by Lulu was the No. 1 song on the Billboard charts. The Graduate was the top grossing film at the box office.
Maybe Yastrzemski's Triple Crown didn't seem quite as special in 1967 since Frank Robinson pulled off the same achievement one year earlier.
But it had been 10 years before in '57 before Robinson won his Triple
Crown, so maybe there was some appreciation for how rare his
accomplishment was.
However, do you think fans back then could even imagine that it would
take decades for another hitter to lead his league in the three major
hitting categories again? When witnessing a historic event, is it
natural to realize you may never see it repeated? After all, you just
saw it occur.
But here's why we won't see another Triple Crown in
MLB for another 50 years, why it's practically the baseball version of
Halley's Comet. The combination of a player who can bat over .330, hit
40 or more home runs and notch at least 120 RBI is just far too rare.
Some
can obviously come close. Ryan Braun finished third in NL batting
average, first in home runs and second in RBI. But his .320 average was
17 points behind Buster Posey's .337. So he wasn't actually that close
to a Triple Crown.
Batting average is usually the statistic that presents the biggest obstacle for a Triple Crown contender. In 2007, Alex Rodriguez
led MLB with 54 home runs and 156 RBI, but his .314 average wasn't even
in the AL's top 10. Barry Bonds hit 46 homers with 123 RBI in 1993, but
his .336 average was fourth in the NL.
Typically, batters won't
hit for an extremely high batting average and hit for a exceptionally
large amount of home runs in the same season. The two categories aren't
mutually exclusive, of course, but they don't often mesh within the same
player. And if they do, that batter also has to play for a good
offensive team, one which gets enough runners on base to present
plentiful RBI opportunities.
But what about the pitchers these batters have to face? More
specifically, the number of pitchers these batters have to face through
the course of a particular ballgame.
Relievers weren't as
prevalent in the era of Yastrzemski and Robinson. Those guys may have
faced the same pitcher three or four—maybe even five—times in a game.
In
the modern game, starting pitchers don't pitch more than six or seven
innings. Batters may only get two plate appearances against that game's
starter before he's taken out. Then one or two middle relievers will
pitch. Finally, the closer comes in for the ninth inning. A hitter might
face three or four different pitchers in a typical game now.
That
doesn't give a batter much of an opportunity to adjust and get a feel
for what he might see from a certain pitcher. He also likely won't be
able to take advantage of the starting pitcher tiring out during his
third or fourth time through a lineup.
This isn't even
considering that relievers are better than they've ever been. Middle
relievers are just as good, if not better than closers on many teams.
Virtually all of them throw hard or have a specialty pitch with nasty
movement. And then there's the closer, who probably throws 95-100 mph
while also featuring a slider with sharp action or a heavy sinker.
Yet
another innovation that's developed in MLB over recent seasons is the
increased amount of data devoted to hitter tendencies. Managers and
coaches don't just have scouting reports that tell pitchers a hitter
can't handle a pitch low and away or high and inside anymore.
Teams
now know where a batter is going to hit the ball. Spray charts and
other such data tell managers where their defenders should be positioned
on the field against a certain hitter. Tactics such as infield shifts
that load more defenders on one side of the diamond are employed more
frequently against pull hitters like David Ortiz and Mark Teixeira.
It takes a supremely talented hitter to overcome specialization for
pitching staffs and defensive positioning. It may take a
once-in-a-generation talent to combine all the batting skills necessary
to hit for a high average while also slugging for power. And all of that
has to come together in one season.
Baseball fans had every
reason to think they'd never see a Triple Crown winner again. That
wasn't an unreasonable assumption, given that so many of us had never
seen one in our lifetimes of watching the sport. We're talking about
something that's only happened 15 times in the history of baseball.
Miguel
Cabrera is the one rare talent that was able to defeat all of the
obstacles that the game placed before him. Those of us who saw him break
in as a 20-year-old with the 2003 Florida Marlins knew we were seeing an exceptional talent, someone who could dominate at such a young age.
Cabrera
has fulfilled those expectations in the nine seasons he's played since
then. But the culmination of his great physical gifts resulted in a
historic achievement.
Hopefully, you took the opportunity to
watch Cabrera play this season and enjoy his accomplishments on the
field. Take the time to appreciate his Triple Crown. You may never see
it happen with another hitter again.
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